Will #Eclipse on Friday 20 March cause any problems to #Greek #electricity system


From the Formula below the loss of Available capacity is estimated in relation to normal conditions: [Photovoltaic (ΜW) installed*(ClearSkyRadiation)/(maxRadiation2015*(1+33%increased probability))]*[1-Sun HideOut]. For Greece sun hide out at nearest point is Larissa with Losing 37% of radiation (as seen in the above graph). The 1st band refers to hours 8 am to 9 am and ongoing till 11-12 am the estimated Loss of capacity might be from 800 MW to 1000MW in relation of course to normal conditions and not to the full available capacity installed which for 2015 approx 3.848 MW. If we “play” with the probability of max radiation and oscillate then we get a significant loss of capacity:


But with the current load up to the levels below (since the spot might be the best tomorrow’s estimator) and even with this delta (on realVsforecasted) the available Gas stations capacity at these hours is far enough to cover any problems BUT not taking into ACCOUNT any instability of the TRANSMITION network. That means from a generation point of view it seems no problem BUt from transmission needs high caution.


Leave a comment

Filed under Uncategorized

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s